Has any player ever entered the NFL with higher expectations than Jacksonville Jaguars' quarterback Trevor Lawrence? Lawrence entered the college football scene as a five-star prospect and the number one overall recruit in his entire class. He immediately led the Clemson Tigers to an undefeated 15-0 record and a College Football Championship victory as a freshman. Draft analysts wrote his name down in pen as the first overall pick for the 2021 NFL Draft as early as his freshman year in 2018. We don’t have to go into too much detail about Lawrence’s first season in the league – the Urban Meyer Jaguars were the butt of just about every joke that year and finished with the worst record in the league for a second straight season

Looking at the NFL Rookie Betting market on the FanDuel Sportsbook, there’s an interesting dichotomy in the odds for AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Award between the Carolina Panthers’ first two picks from the 2023 NFL Draft. Quarterback and first-overall pick, Bryce Young has the second-best odds to win the award with his +430 line, while former Ole Miss wide receiver and second-round pick Jonathan Mingo is way down the board at +4200. Parsing these lines, the reasoning for this becomes pretty clear: if Jonathan Mingo is having a good season, it will almost definitely be coming as a result of Bryce Young having a successful season. It would be very difficult for Mingo to win the award over Young in any season where both players remain healthy – he’d essentially need to be a yards-after-catch monster making highlight-reel plays independent from Young’s passing in every game to even stand a chance. But if you think Bryce Young will play well in his rookie season, and believe in Jonathan Mingo’s talent and opportunity in 2023, you can take a look at Mingo’s +1200 odds to lead all rookies in receiving yards

Ole Miss wide receiver Jonathan Mingo is the newest member of the Carolina Panthers after they selected him 39th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. The 6'2", 220-pound wideout has a little more athleticism than he does production to his name, but the potential was enough for him to be a Day 2 pick in the draft. Jonathan Mingo NFL Draft Profile Mingo lacks an early breakout age (i.e. he didn't have a huge year in college until his final season), which is usually a bit of a red flag if your best production comes when you have more of an age advantage over your collegiate peers. Mingo didn't clear 400 receiving yards until 2022 when he put up 861 on 51 catches, though he played only six games as a junior due to a broken foot. With top-50-in-the-nation totals in both deep yards (31st) and screen yards (416), via PFF, Mingo has a unique run-after-catch and deep-threat potential. Jonathan Mingo Top Comparables According to my NFL prospect database -- which accounts for athleticism, production, size, draft capital, age, and more historically important variables -- here are Mingo's top five comparable players. Laviska Shenault Jr. - 90.1% Chris Conley - 89.9% Laquon Treadwell - 89.8% Cordarrelle Patterson - 89.7% Andre Johnson - 89.2% Jonathan Mingo in Carolina With a new quarterback -- number-one overall pick Bryce Young -- in Carolina, the offense will be a bit different than it has been in recent seasons. The team sent D.J