NFL Rookie Receiving Yards Betting: The Case for Jonathan Mingo
Looking at the NFL Rookie Betting market on the FanDuel Sportsbook, there’s an interesting dichotomy in the odds for AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Award between the Carolina Panthers’ first two picks from the 2023 NFL Draft. Quarterback and first-overall pick, Bryce Young has the second-best odds to win the award with his +430 line, while former Ole Miss wide receiver and second-round pick Jonathan Mingo is way down the board at +4200.
Parsing these lines, the reasoning for this becomes pretty clear: if Jonathan Mingo is having a good season, it will almost definitely be coming as a result of Bryce Young having a successful season. It would be very difficult for Mingo to win the award over Young in any season where both players remain healthy – he’d essentially need to be a yards-after-catch monster making highlight-reel plays independent from Young’s passing in every game to even stand a chance.
But if you think Bryce Young will play well in his rookie season, and believe in Jonathan Mingo’s talent and opportunity in 2023, you can take a look at Mingo’s +1200 odds to lead all rookies in receiving yards